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SMI on the Radio: Where Does the Market Go From Here? (audio and transcript)

After a terrible December and a terrific January, where does the market go from here?
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After January Rebound, What’s the Market’s Current Status?

The stock market has bounced back quite a bit from its recent sharp decline. Even so, SMI’s defensive systems are flashing warning lights. Here's why.
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History Indicates What Comes Next

As a follow-up to my post from yesterday, Significant Market Test Ahead, I want to highlight a few things from an excellent article by Bryce Coward, CFA, titled, What Does a Typical Counter-Trend Rally Look Like After a
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Significant Market Test Ahead

Let's take a look at the recent stock market recovery. From its low on Christmas Eve, the S&P 500 is up +11.5%. However, because it takes larger percentage gains to offset smaller percentage losses (the "cruel math" of
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High Volatility Shouldn’t Be Surprising

The stock market path took a few more significant twists last week when the S&P 500 followed a -2.5% loss on Thursday with a +3.4% gain on Friday. The immediate cause of Friday's rally was the apparent "blink" of Fed
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Bear Alert + A Few Market Observations

It's very unusual for the stock market to fall as far and as fast as it has this December. This type of decline is what we normally see at the end of long bear markets, not at the beginning. But the market isn't a
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What to Remember at a Time Like This

"People need to be reminded more often than they need to be instructed." – Samuel Johnson For some investors, the last few months have been unsettling. After reaching an all-time high of 2,931 on September 20th, the S&P
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Upgrading 2.0 Defensive Protocols Have Been Triggered

After setting an all-time high in September, the stock market has slid into “correction” territory. In light of the pace and extent of the decline, Upgrading’s new 2.0 defensive protocols have been activated, reducing the
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Applying Upgrading 2.0 Signals to JtB or 401(k) Indexed Portfolios

If you're following SMI's Just-the-Basics strategy or are using index funds in your 401(k) plan, you may want to take a cue from Upgrading 2.0 and reduce risk during the market pullback. Here's
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Reduced Fees, Lower Minimums Create Options For JtB Investors

SMI has long recommended Vanguard funds as the go-to vehicles for our Just-the-Basics strategy. But now Vanguard is facing stiff competition in the JtB space from both Fidelity and Schwab. Is it time to make a
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