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The Surprisingly Small Benefit of Perfect Market Timing

Becoming a consistent month-after-month investor (which anyone can do!) likely will contribute more to your long-term success than trying to time the market (which few can do well).
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Are Value Stocks Staging a Comeback?

As we have noted in previous articles and posts, growth stocks (on the whole) have have been outperforming value stocks for more than a decade. (Definitions of "growth" and "value" are imprecise but, generally speaking,
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Is Indexing the New Subprime Crisis?

The rise of passive investing, or "indexing," has been going on since the first index funds were introduced back in the 1970s. But the bull market that began a decade ago in 2009 has really kicked the indexing trend into
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Mastering the Market Cycle

While market cycles may not repeat precisely, they have recurring and recognizable characteristics. Knowing those characteristics could keep you from making a big mistake.
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Fed Begins New Rate-Cutting Cycle

When the Fed starts cutting interest rates to forestall a future recession, that's usually good news for investors in the short term. In the longer term, not so much.
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Yield Curve Inverts – What You Need to Know

We've been witnessing tremendous daily volatility in the stock market recently and today is no exception. That said, the primary catalyst for today's plunge lower — the "official" inverting of the yield curve — is a big
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Trump/Powell Ping-Pong Match Takes Its Toll

Well, that was quick. Just six trading sessions ago (the Friday before last), the S&P 500 set its most recent all-time high. As we've pointed out several times, other parts of the stock market haven't been as strong —
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SMI by the Numbers

SMI is now in its 30th year! Our executive editor Mark Biller has been thinking about several significant numbers related to SMI’s history — and also about numbers that tell us something about the current market
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August Sightings

Value Stocks Haven’t Traded This Low Since the Dot-Com Bubble A total-return measure of value versus growth across developed markets just slumped to its lowest since 2000. That marks almost two decades since shares dubbed
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Beware the Short Memory, and Other Points to Ponder

Crazy times “We are in such bizarre times, all bets are off. It is certainly not the time for ‘buy and hold’ unless your goal is to lose everything. If not, then you need an active, flexible, defensive investment strategy
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