Sector Rotation - New Recommendation for April 2014

Mar 31, 2014

We knew it wouldn’t last forever, but after two years near the top of Sound Mind Investing’s Sector Rotation rankings, I must admit I was surprised to see our recommended fund fall out of the top quartile so rapidly during March. The stunning gains of Fidelity Biotech — and its rapid decline during March — are both good reminders of the promise and peril of Sector Rotation.

While the speed of the March decline was surprising, it wasn’t completely unexpected: Austin and I both wrote about the soaring biotechs in recent weeks. And as I pointed out in my recent post on biotech, the last time we had such huge gains in a SR fund, it ended with a one-month decline of -27.18% as tech unwound in April of 2000.

All in all though, we’d take recommendations like this one every time if we could get them. Since being recommended over two years ago in February of 2012, we’d made 145% going into March. Through Friday’s close, we’d given back -14.76% of that during March. But that still leaves Sound Mind Investing members with a whopping 108.8% gain overall. Anytime we can more than double our money in roughly two years, we’re thrilled. Now we’re moving on to a new sector.

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Written by

Mark Biller

Mark Biller

Mark joined SMI in 2000. He leads the SMI newsletter’s overall content strategy, managing the editorial direction and writing many articles.

He helped develop several of SMI’s investment strategies, led the company’s efforts to create its first website, and has been a contributing author to The Sound Mind Investing Handbook.

Mark also serves as Senior Portfolio Manager to SMI Advisory Service’s Private Client managed-account program, the SMI Funds, and the SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and REAL Asset Allocation (RAA) ETF's.

Follow Mark on X/Twitter at @mark_biller.

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