Cover Article

Real Asset Allocation: The World Has Changed

By Warren Pies & Fernando Vidal

Feb 26, 2025

Declining interest rates made bonds the perfect complement to stock portfolios from 1982–2021. When stock prices fell, bonds cushioned the blow. But since 2022, inflation and rising yields have made protecting portfolios tougher. Enter 3Fourteen Research’s Real Asset Allocation Model.

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Written by

Warren Pies

Warren is the founder of 3Fourteen Research, which provides advisors and other institutional investors with timely macro market analysis as well as quantitative investing models. He is also a portfolio manager of the SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE). Warren is a sought after guest in various media, including Barron’s, the Wall Street Journal, and MSNBC.

Fernando Vidal

Fernando is the Chief Data Scientist at 3Fourteen Research. His expertise in machine learning, in which he has a Master’s Degree and is the lead inventor on multiple patents, adds quantitative rigor to the economic and investing models developed there. He is also a portfolio manager of the SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE), which launched July 2024.

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Real Asset Allocation: The World Has Changed

Continue reading plus get access to our
objective, time-tested investing strategies.