Home >Articles

Category: Stock Market

“Not QE” Has Changed the Market’s Trend

Stocks have posted six straight weeks of higher prices, pushing the S&P 500 Index above its long-term trend-line and breaking through the pattern of the past two years where significant new highs were inevitably met within
Continue Reading

“Fully Invested Bears”

New SMI members are sometimes confused by an apparent disconnect between what our articles seem to be saying and what our investment portfolios are actually doing. This typically happens because all of SMI's portfolios
Continue Reading

SMI on the Radio: What if You Could Time the Market Perfectly? (audio and transcript)

It's risky to try to time the market. And even you could do it perfectly (which you can't!) the upside isn't as great as you might think, as SMI executive editor Mark Biller explained yesterday on Moody Radio's MoneyWise
Continue Reading

What Did You Expect?

Successful investing is largely about managing expectations. How else to explain the fact that the Great Recession of 2008 took out many investors — perhaps permanently? According to Gallup, in April, 2007, 65% of U.S.
Continue Reading

The Surprisingly Small Benefit of Perfect Market Timing

Becoming a consistent month-after-month investor (which anyone can do!) likely will contribute more to your long-term success than trying to time the market (which few can do well).
Continue Reading

Are Value Stocks Staging a Comeback?

As we have noted in previous articles and posts, growth stocks (on the whole) have have been outperforming value stocks for more than a decade. (Definitions of "growth" and "value" are imprecise but, generally speaking,
Continue Reading

Is Indexing the New Subprime Crisis?

The rise of passive investing, or "indexing," has been going on since the first index funds were introduced back in the 1970s. But the bull market that began a decade ago in 2009 has really kicked the indexing trend into
Continue Reading

Mastering the Market Cycle

While market cycles may not repeat precisely, they have recurring and recognizable characteristics. Knowing those characteristics could keep you from making a big mistake.
Continue Reading

Fed Begins New Rate-Cutting Cycle

When the Fed starts cutting interest rates to forestall a future recession, that's usually good news for investors in the short term. In the longer term, not so much.
Continue Reading

Yield Curve Inverts – What You Need to Know

We've been witnessing tremendous daily volatility in the stock market recently and today is no exception. That said, the primary catalyst for today's plunge lower — the "official" inverting of the yield curve — is a big
Continue Reading