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The Indispensable Virtue of Persistence

Every investment strategy will go through good times and bad. It takes persistence to stick with a strategy through its weak periods so it ultimately can succeed for you.
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Learning to Love Bear Markets: A Lesson in Contrary Thinking

If you’re like most investors, you cheer for the bull. That makes sense if you need to cash out your stock investments in the next 3-5 years. But otherwise, you’ve got it all wrong — you should be pulling for the
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Upside Risk and Other Points to Ponder

Blissful ignorance “If you had checked your portfolio on January 1, 1987, and then slept through the entire year and woken on December 31st you would have looked at your portfolio and said ‘huh, pretty slow year in the
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SMI on the Radio: Where Does the Market Go From Here? (audio and transcript)

After a terrible December and a terrific January, where does the market go from here?
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After January Rebound, What’s the Market’s Current Status?

The stock market has bounced back quite a bit from its recent sharp decline. Even so, SMI’s defensive systems are flashing warning lights. Here's why.
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History Indicates What Comes Next

As a follow-up to my post from yesterday, Significant Market Test Ahead, I want to highlight a few things from an excellent article by Bryce Coward, CFA, titled, What Does a Typical Counter-Trend Rally Look Like After a
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Significant Market Test Ahead

Let's take a look at the recent stock market recovery. From its low on Christmas Eve, the S&P 500 is up +11.5%. However, because it takes larger percentage gains to offset smaller percentage losses (the "cruel math" of
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High Volatility Shouldn’t Be Surprising

The stock market path took a few more significant twists last week when the S&P 500 followed a -2.5% loss on Thursday with a +3.4% gain on Friday. The immediate cause of Friday's rally was the apparent "blink" of Fed
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Bear Alert + A Few Market Observations

It's very unusual for the stock market to fall as far and as fast as it has this December. This type of decline is what we normally see at the end of long bear markets, not at the beginning. But the market isn't a
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What to Remember at a Time Like This

"People need to be reminded more often than they need to be instructed." – Samuel Johnson For some investors, the last few months have been unsettling. After reaching an all-time high of 2,931 on September 20th, the S&P
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