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Corrections vs. Bear Markets

SMI has always believed that helping investors form realistic expectations is important to their long-term success. That's because investing success is primarily driven by controlling one's emotions, and knowing what's
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Annual Seasonality Sell Signal Triggered – Spring 2018

Well, this certainly isn't an "ideal" sell signal for the annual seasonality system. Ideally, the market is performing well coming into the last of the "six best months" of the year: November-April. Then as the market
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An Unfavorable Election Cycle Is Close at Hand

One of the more interesting historical stock-market patterns is commonly referred to as “annual seasonality.” The main idea is that each year contains a six-month period which has been “favorable” for stocks (November
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Growth/Value Disparity Highlights Importance of Upgrading

Barron's reported in its March 19 issue on the widening disparity between growth and value mutual funds (unfortunately, the article is available for subscribers only). On one side are value managers who can't justify the
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Tech Growth Forces Sector Re-Shuffle

Technology stocks have been on quite a tear in recent years. Plenty of ink has been spilled detailing the incredible gains of the FAANG stocks (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google), and rightly so. Those five stocks
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Happy 9th Birthday, Bull Market

By most accounts, the current bull market will turn 9 years old this Friday (March 9). A few holdouts will say its birthday was actually yesterday because March 6, 2009, was the day the bear market hit its lowest intra-day
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Recent Correction Raises the Question: Are You Ready for the Next Bear Market?

The winds of change blew through the financial markets in February, leading to the first stock-market correction (a decline of at least 10% from the previous high) in two years. What caused the correction, and
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Should You Trade “After Hours”?

The U.S. stock markets, such as the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, are open for business weekdays from 9:30 a.m. until 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time. Those are normal market hours. However, certain brokers allow customers to
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March Sightings

Observations on the Market Correction There’s rarely a good reason for a stock market downturn. I’ve been studying many of the historical bear markets and corrections that don’t get as much publicity as the usual suspects
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The Stock Market Isn’t Rational and Other Points to Ponder

When the tide goes out “A portfolio that gets so scary that you bail out at the bottom is destined to fail. There will always be apparent dangers and steep declines.” – Jeff Miller, encouraging readers of his Dash of
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